As US presidential election nears, Trump support among Hispanic men spikes: poll

Reuters/Ipsos polls show Harris increases support among white women amid tight race. With less than two weeks before the election day, a new Reuters/Ipsos poll shows that Republican Donald Trump has gained strong support among the Hispanic men, nearly erasing the Democrats’ longstanding advantage. Former President Trump now trails Vice President Harris by just 2 percentage points among Hispanic men — 44% to 46% — compared with his 19 point deficit with Democrat Joe Biden at the same point in 2020, according to the analysis of more than 15,000 responses to Reuters/Ipsos polls conducted in the month through Oct 21 and during the same period of 2020.Trump’s gains have been offset by increased support for Harris among white women, who favoured him over Biden by 12 points late in 2020 but now lean Republican by 3 points, 46% to 43%. The two candidates are locked in an exceptionally tight race, with Harris up only marginally – 46% to 43% – in the latest poll conducted Oct. 16-21.The shifts are part of larger changes in the coalitions that each candidate is counting on for victory, with Trump boosting his advantage with Hispanic and Black voters ‘particularly men’ while Harris has cut away at the Republicans’ longstanding edge with white voters by gaining ground with women. Robert Alomia, a Hispanic voter in Elizabeth, New Jersey, who works at a security firm, said he respects Trump’s career as a businessman and plans to vote for him this year after sitting out the 2020 election. “We need people who think quick and people who are willing to lead – he’s a leader,” said Alomia, 42, who said he was also sympathetic to Trump’s hardline views on immigration. “You have these people that come into the country where they get everything, and basically the door is open for them.”Trump has accused the Biden administration of leaving the southern border open to migrants while Harris has pushed back against that by blaming Trump for pressuring Republicans in Congress to jettison a bipartisan border security bill that have would tightened border controls. Hispanic voters, the fastest-growing segment of the U.S. electorate, have leaned heavily Democratic in most presidential elections since the 1970s but Trump has made significant inroads. The analysis of recent Reuters/Ipsos polling shows Trump with support from 37% of registered Hispanic voters, up from 30% at the same point in 2020. Harris is at 51% compared to Biden’s 54% four years earlier. The numbers are subject to sampling error, and have levels of precision of between 2 and 6 percentage points. Trump ended up winning 38% of the Hispanic votes in 2020, 21 points below Biden but still the biggest share for a Republican candidate since President George W. Bush won 44% in 2004, according to a 2020 exit poll analysis by the Pew Research Center and historical figures compiled by the American Enterprise Institute.



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